Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
How many of those leads are large enough though? With Gerrymandering, and the urban vs rural vote, the Dems need a fairly sizable lead to win most states, no?
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No. Data collection models are designed to take these variables into consideration. Also, gerrymandering affects down ballot races, not the Presidential race. The thing that could hurt the most is voter suppression tactics, which the Trump administration and the GOP have been very transparent in their attempts. I know a lot of people are going to be looking at 2016 and claiming there will be a repeat, but the polling is way different and Biden has been extremely consistent in the trends. The only hope for Trump is voter suppression, otherwise this is a blowout.