Now that we've reached the merge, here is how I would handicap the final 12.
In the best positions to win, in no particular order:
Charlie, Maria, Tevin, Tiffany
Have a chance to win, if things go the right way:
Hunter, Kenzie, Tim, Ben
No real chance to win based on what we've seen so far:
Q, Venus, Soda, Liz
Q and Venus both seem too emotional and play too hard without any subtlety. I expect both of them to be out in the near future. Soda and Liz don't even seem to be in the game. Now that they've made the merge they could get dragged along all the way to the finale, but I don't see any chance they could win.
In the middle group, Hunter looks to be a real comp beast, and comp beasts tend to get taken out in the 6-8 range. Even their closest allies usually don't want them left around at 5.
In the top group, Maria and Charlie seem to have a very strong bond that is well hidden, which is very powerful. Tiffany and Tevin also have good bonds and are each positioned behind a meat shield, so they should have a good run to top 6 at least.
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