Quote:
Originally Posted by dustygoon
He says 77% chance he gets the guy he wants at 8 (werenski). How is he generating that probability? That 77% chance was the same before and after the Eichel pickv (duh). I say that because if he was running some model on his laptop, the odds would have changed slightly after the Eichel pick.
|
Interestingly, the number lines up really closely to the Bayesian probability NHL draft tool someone posted a while back.
http://donttellmeaboutheart.blogspot...lity-tool.html
If you go to the "Team" tab, and select Columbus as the team, Werenski has a 78.96% chance of being available. I wonder if they are just using this. Why reinvent the wheel?