View Single Post
Old 07-21-2015, 03:16 PM   #15
dustygoon
Franchise Player
 
dustygoon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Bay Area
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by darthma View Post
Interestingly, the number lines up really closely to the Bayesian probability NHL draft tool someone posted a while back.

http://donttellmeaboutheart.blogspot...lity-tool.html

If you go to the "Team" tab, and select Columbus as the team, Werenski has a 78.96% chance of being available. I wonder if they are just using this. Why reinvent the wheel?
Now we are talking. Thanks for digging that out. That is exactly the type of model that they were using.

And Fire, as for question about eichel and 100% certainty. That is why i said "duh". I am pretty certain that you know that it isn't 100%.
dustygoon is offline   Reply With Quote