Quote:
Originally Posted by darthma
Interestingly, the number lines up really closely to the Bayesian probability NHL draft tool someone posted a while back.
http://donttellmeaboutheart.blogspot...lity-tool.html
If you go to the "Team" tab, and select Columbus as the team, Werenski has a 78.96% chance of being available. I wonder if they are just using this. Why reinvent the wheel?
|
Now we are talking. Thanks for digging that out. That is exactly the type of model that they were using.
And Fire, as for question about eichel and 100% certainty. That is why i said "duh". I am pretty certain that you know that it isn't 100%.