Quote:
Originally Posted by united
The Athletic 63%
Sports Club Stats 33%
Hockey Viz 55%
Money Puck 42%
Corsica Hockey 59%
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The reason for the spread is all based on method used.
I know Sports Club Stats uses goal differential as a predictor for future match-ups. The Flames are currently -6 in that category, so the simulator does not think Calgary is very good and will lose more games int he future.
I would guess the Athletic and Corsica hockey are likely using some form of advanced stats, which show the Flames are underperforming a bit. Hence, these guys give the Flames a much better chance as they are winning more in their future simulated games.
Hockey Viz and Money Puck, I don't know, so I can't say for sure.
Long story short - all these numbers are "good" so long as you think their forecasting method is accurate. Think goal difference will predict future performance? Use Sports Club stats. Think advanced stats can predict future results? Use Corsica hockey. Think all this prediction stuff is hooey and you just need a set amount of points at season's end? Use the snake.