View Single Post
Old 10-24-2017, 07:16 PM   #21
TheScorpion
First round-bust
 
TheScorpion's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV View Post
Have they?

Hartley's last year here, with Kris Russell (our worst possession player) and no Matthew Tkachuk (our best possession player) we were a 47.97% xGF% team.

Gulutzan's first year here, with Tkachuk (our best possession player) and no Kris Russell (our worst possession player) we were a 49.33% xGF% team.

So that's a shade under 1% improvement with a better, more complete roster and better goaltending.

Both are sub-50% teams in terms of expected goals over a full season. One guy had Matthew Tkachuk, the other guy had Kris Russell.

He's made us play a more responsible style with centers supporting down low, but don't confuse that with us playing "better" at 5-on-5. The only players to see significant gains in their possession numbers have really just been our worst players - guys like Matt Stajan or Deryk Engelland.

You look at Gaudreau and he had roughly the same possession numbers under Hartley (49.08% CF / 49.71% xGF%) he did under Gulutzan (50.21% CF / 49.96% xGF%) except he's been a turnover machine under Gulutzan because he has no green light to fly the zone and hit quickly. Gaudreau, Bennett, Brodie, and Giordano all stopped using their full skillsets under Gulutzan.

...

Pretty sure Hartley's 97 point season was more points than we had last year.
Hartley's 97-point season was one of the luckiest team seasons in recent memory.

Also, you must be joking in your point about the Flames losing Russell and gaining Tkachuk. I mean, sure, that did happen. But you're discounting other transactions that occurred, like the Flames acquiring one of their worst possession players in Brouwer. You can't just isolate a couple transactions and apply them to the whole team.
__________________
"This has been TheScorpion's shtick for years. All these hot takes, clickbait nonsense just to feed his social media algorithms." –Tuco

TheScorpion is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to TheScorpion For This Useful Post: