Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
Too early for these stats...you really think the knights are 72% for the playoffs? I don't
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The stats assume (weighted) that teams are as good as their play indicates. So the validity of that model is how well the current play predicts their future play. I think they use Goal Differential in the model rather than just record.
So like most statistical tools it's a starting point. Do the Flames have about a 38% chance of making the playoffs? That seems reasonable. Do the knights make it 3/4 times probably not but it's not lower than 50/50. Really shows how early wins and banking those points pays off.