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Old 07-26-2016, 10:34 AM   #17
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrMastodonFarm View Post
If you're going by closeness, then I suppose.

If you're voting on upside the borderline 4th liner still has some way to go.
I consider both. And also likelihood of making it.

A small, 18 year old 2nd round pick has more upside than Hathaway, but Hathaway is already an NHLer, and he is a very good 4th liner.

Conversely, the 2nd rounder has a 10-20% chance of being an NHLer.

Sure, if he makes it, a top 6er is far more valuable. But I factor down that value by the probability of making it.

Kylington: has shown progress, and sublime skating skills. So his stock is very high.

Fox is a 5'10" 18 year old. I look at his value as a top 6er x 10% (likelihood). He has to show me some progression before he's worth more than Hathaway in my mind.
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