Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio
I don't understand the logic here. Bridging a player doesn't capitalize on the players appreciated value. There's a reason so many GMs are handing out long term contracts to young RFAs: the player is worth more than their salary and AAV at years 5-8. But when you re-sign them in their late 20's, their value depreciates because they're not worth their salary or caphit in their later years.
Buying out Brouwer cost the team 6 million. If Hanifin cost 6 million for 8 years, those last three years are easily worth more than Brouwer's buyout. You have to think, Hanifins next contract could be 10-12 million one if he pans out to being a top pairing D-man. That's nearly double his worth!
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It's also possible that an RFA signed to long term deal does not improve as expected, and is overcompensated for the entirety of the deal.
No buy out:
Brouwer 4.5 4.5 0 0
Hanifin 3.5 3.5 6.75 6.75
4th liner 0 0 1 1
TOTAL 8 8 7.75 7.75
Brouwer 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
4th liner 1 1 1 1
Hanifin 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
TOTAL 8 8 8 8
It's pretty close to a wash - of course it varies based on exact numbers of either Hanifin contract. You can subtract a million from the next 2 years of no buy out if you bury him. I don't give a crap about the owner's real money.
It comes down to how certain you are that Hanifin is a $5+M dollar player, and how certain you are that Brouwer will be a complete disaster again. I'll take the extra $1.5M available starting 2 years from now, even if it costs more than that to sign Hanifin then. Good problem to have.