Some where in your projections I think you have projected wins as 4 higher than losses in the combined records. So somewhere you might have two teams who will come up a win short of what you have. Maybe there is another round to dial that in?
Green Bay under doesn't seem a terrible bet as they would have to improve by 4 wins to beat the 9.5 line. The value is not great but it would look like a probable outcome.
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