[StickMan]

Averages show that the CPC lead the Liberals by 1.7 percent, at 32.2 percent and 30.5 percent, respectively. The NDP have a 20.8 percent share of the vote, while the Bloc, Greens and PPC make up 15.3 percent of the vote, collectively.

A Nanos poll from August 5 shows the Conservatives with a 4 percent lead, edging out the Liberals at 33 percent to 29 percent, respectively. The NDP have a 23 percent share of the vote per the poll, while the Greens, Bloc, and PPC share 15 percent of the vote, collectively.

338 Canada's Federal Model also has the Conservatives ahead in projected seat count, with the CPC projected to gain 16 seats compared to the 2021 federal election. This would have the CPC ever-so-slighty ahead of the Liberals, at 135 seats to the Liberals 134.

Trudeau warns of populism as cpc takes lead in polls

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