The biggest thing with Holtby is it appears something is causing him to unable to make the high danger saves.
Over the last three seasons:
Holtby:
HDSV%: .806 (54th)
MDSV%: .923 (17th)
LDSV%: .977 (12th)
Holtby Goals Saved Above Expectation Trend:
https://twitter.com/chartinghockey/s...296126464?s=21
So the question with Holtby is if the High Danger has something to do with how Washington is playing, or if his athleticism has taken a hit.
Markstrom is a guy that has been a bonafide starter now over the last three seasons but I’m still not sure he’s elite. His best attribute seems to be that he’s consistent.
HDSV: .835 (22nd)
MDSV: .923 (17th)
LDSV: .968 (41st)
Markstrom Goals Saved Above Expectation Thread:
https://twitter.com/chartinghockey/s...834898946?s=21
So that is comparing the best three years of Markstroms career vs the worst three years of Holtby’s. Honestly I’d be a bit worried about either guy, Holtby for high danger saves, Markstroms been a guy that’s had some low danger goals against issues for his career.
And based on Moneypuck’s logic they actually had Holtby better than Markstrom in 17-18 and 18-19, they only have Markstrom as better in 19-20 So their is risk either way IMO.