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Old 07-07-2018, 10:09 AM   #122
Bingo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw View Post
Hanifin should be over 3 on a 2 year deal... Trouba was 6m for 2 years 2 years ago.

Lindholm 5x5 is the best case scenario. 3 x 2 and 6.3 x3 prime ufa years.

That is 1.7M less than Backlund for prime UFA years.


Backlund got 5.35 for 6 which breaks down to 8, 8, 8, 3, 2, 2 Backlund was breaking down last season the season he turned 29. his 30-31-32 seasons are expected to be great as there is no pattern or reason to expect that 33-34-35 years will be at a 1a C level.

I feel that the Flames panicked and paid Backlund too much but there is not a lot of general complaining about the contract. If Backlund's contract is fair then 5x5 for Lindholm is a real bargain

Based on expectation that Lindolm is a better player than Backlund.
Cane's model, while only a computation has been pretty accurate.

Hanifin gets ...

2 x 2.3
3 x 2.8
4 x 3.8
5 x 4.4
6 x 4.4
7 x 4.4

so you're 250k or high on a two year if he's right.

Lindholm gets ...

5 x 5.0
6 x 5.0

so if he's right it's not best case it's his predicted case to see 5x5

Cane before Backlund signed had him at 6*5.7 so the Flames saved 350K on that contract if compared to a model.

So I don't see a panic, and I think you might be pleasantly surprised (or annoyed) when the two Carolina guys come in reasonable.
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