Quote:
Originally Posted by BigErnSalute_16
The coolest part of this trade for me is the fact that Hanafin is going into the season where almost all dmen have a jump in production. The fourth season of a career sees production spikes for almost every dman in the league.
So if the Flames can sign him to a reasonable long term contract we might be looking at a massive value contract in a few years, especially if you consider what, imo, his best comparable did in his career so far, seth jones.
Both jones and Hanifin were ranked top three in their draft years and fell slightly, jones 1 fell to 4, Hanifin 3 fell to five. Both players are 6'3"+ and over 200 lbs. Both were traded in their third season with their draft team. And both players had almost identical production over their first three seasons. Jones: .32ppg, .33ppg, .38ppg. Hanifin: .29ppg, .36ppg, .40ppg.
Jones next season saw his production jump to .56ppg followed the next year by another increase to .73ppg.
Even if Hanifin doesn't follow jones exactly over the next two seasons and remains at the low-end of the fourth-year production spike he should hit 40 points. But I think there is a very good chance we see a breakout season for hanifin. Same coach, so doesn't have to get used to a new system, better production than Jones in 2nd and 3rd season and really good possession numbers to back it up.
needless to say, I'm excited about this trade and will be over the moon if the flames sign him long-term to a reasonable contract.
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I agree, need to lock him up now for 7 years. He probably won't hit Jones' heights (after all, Jones was projected to be 1st overall for good reason), but he should have noticeable bumps in production for the next several years, and he's going to get a lot more expensive if we bridge him.