Quote:
Originally Posted by FunkMasterFlame
I don't think its particularly stupid to urge caution against putting 100% faith into polls when they burned you so hard in 2016.
But hey, thanks for the passive-aggressive insult. Reminds me why I don't come into this thread very often.
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Most of the polls in 2016 were within the margin of error. Certain media companies interpreted them as having no margin of error and put ridiculous graphics that had Clinton at 99% ect.
The biggest failing in polling from 2016 was an undersampling of non-college educated white voters. Pollsters now sample for demographics like education and build a model based on percentages of the population. Outside of the secret Trump voter or another previously undiscovered polling methodology error, there is little reason to disbelieve polls that show sizable margins with the corrected sampling system.