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Old 11-27-2020, 09:29 PM   #347
Baron von Kriterium
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch View Post
I can't see the benefit here for Israel to do this...
Really?

1. Israel is a prime suspect because of a few factors:
- It has the expertise and capacity.
- It has done it before.
- It has the motivation.

2. Concerning motivation: conducting attacks in Iran has few down-sides for Israel right now. If Iran lashes out and sparks a broader conflict that sucks in the USA, it brings about a USA-Iran confrontation that Netanyahu long has sought.

3. Or, If Iran sits tight and waits out the Trump presidency, Israel will not have lost much as Trump clearly has either given Israel the green light to attack Iran or, at a minimum, refuses to impose a cost on Israel for dragging the USA to the brink of war with Iran.

4, Either way, the assassination (and other likely future attacks) will likely harden Iran’s position and complicates - if not hinders - any Biden attempt to revive diplomacy. That serves Netanyahu’s interest as well.
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