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Arsenal14 · 11-20-2019, 08:51 AM

Well, I guess we're going to have to do this the hard way. With El Salvador & the US winning yesterday the hex is pretty much locked in.

Code:

Mexico		1621
USA			1540
Costa Rica	1442
Jamaica		1438
Honduras	1377
El Salvador	1346
----------------
Canada		1331
Curacao		1313
Panama		1304
Haiti		1285
T&T			1202

The only remaining international match windows before the draw is done are at the end of March and the start of June. So, we can theoretically play a maximum of 4 friendlies. Assuming that El Salvador does nothing which seems reasonable as they don't want to lose any points we need to get to at least 1346 points. To get an idea of what that takes, 2 wins against the US who are currently ranked #22 in the world would almost do it but wouldn't quite be enough. Beating Belgium who are the world #1 twice would just barely push us over the top.

So that leaves us needing to do the following:

1. Win a group stage with either 2 or 3 other teams ranked 7-35 in CONCACAF
2. Beat one of the other group winners in a 2 leg quarter-final
3. Beat one of the other quarter-final winners in a 2 leg semi-final
4. Beat the other semi-final winner in a 2 leg final
5. Beat the 4th place team from the hex over 2 legs
6. Beat a team from one of the other confederations (Asia, South America or Oceania) over 2 legs.

Good news is we should have lots of games to play for a change. Bad news is it's going to be at least 14 games to get to the World Cup with most of them being must-win.

11-20-2019, 08:51 AM	#1536
Arsenal14 Powerplay Quarterback Join Date: Aug 2005 Exp:	Well, I guess we're going to have to do this the hard way. With El Salvador & the US winning yesterday the hex is pretty much locked in. Code: Mexico 1621 USA 1540 Costa Rica 1442 Jamaica 1438 Honduras 1377 El Salvador 1346 ---------------- Canada 1331 Curacao 1313 Panama 1304 Haiti 1285 T&T 1202 The only remaining international match windows before the draw is done are at the end of March and the start of June. So, we can theoretically play a maximum of 4 friendlies. Assuming that El Salvador does nothing which seems reasonable as they don't want to lose any points we need to get to at least 1346 points. To get an idea of what that takes, 2 wins against the US who are currently ranked #22 in the world would almost do it but wouldn't quite be enough. Beating Belgium who are the world #1 twice would just barely push us over the top. So that leaves us needing to do the following: 1. Win a group stage with either 2 or 3 other teams ranked 7-35 in CONCACAF 2. Beat one of the other group winners in a 2 leg quarter-final 3. Beat one of the other quarter-final winners in a 2 leg semi-final 4. Beat the other semi-final winner in a 2 leg final 5. Beat the 4th place team from the hex over 2 legs 6. Beat a team from one of the other confederations (Asia, South America or Oceania) over 2 legs. Good news is we should have lots of games to play for a change. Bad news is it's going to be at least 14 games to get to the World Cup with most of them being must-win.