Quote:
Originally Posted by mile
That is assuming Kylington's potential is that of a top pairing defenseman. I'm not so sure I see it that way. I think if he hits his ceiling he will more likely be a #3/4 guy. And like others have said, likelihood to reach that potential is a factor too.
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That isn't his ceiling at all. The general view is that his ceiling is Eric Karlsson.
The problem with voting for Kylington at this point, is the likelihood of him hitting his ceiling (or close to it), which is lass than 20% right now.
Conversely, Wotherspoon's ceiling is no where near that, but his likelihood of becoming a solid NHLer is substantially higher.
IMO, prospect ranking should consider several things:
1) how good are they right now?
2) what is their ceiling?
3) what is the likelihood of hitting their ceiling (or at least becoming a player)?
4) how close are they now?
THis is why HF Futures will rank a guy 8.0D as opposed to 8.0