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Old 09-12-2017, 07:14 AM   #181
Resolute 14
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Lot of interesting things here. Right off the bat, one of the inherent issues of analyzing spreadsheets. How does our 93 point projection under this model both "view us as an above average team" and put us 20th out of 31 teams? These are mutually exclusive claims. His analysis of the forwards I think struggles a little because it seems to be looking only at last year to determine its player values, and that will depress both Gaudreau and Monahan, who struggled under the weight of new contracts. Likewise, the model ridiculously punishes Lazar for an injury plagued season, but at the same time, hard to make any call at all on what value he will provide. That said, it also inflates Backlund, who needs to prove that last year wasn't a one-off.

The model kills us due to goaltending, which is hard to argue at this point. At the same time, the model doesn't seem to take into account the fact that Smith and Lack will be playing behind one of the best defences in the league. So, ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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