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Old 07-11-2018, 03:31 PM   #68
Jiri Hrdina
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw View Post
That and being a 1st round pick.

Out of the 25 slots in the top 5 for the last 5 years collectively CP has identified 8 that we are sure will break 100 NHL games. 5 were 1st round picks. 4 never played 1 game in the AHL.

The other three we spotted were Granlund, Ferland and Gaudreau.

2013
1. Monahan
2. Baertschi
3. Gaudreau
4. Gillies
5. Jankowski
2014
1 Gaudreau
2. Bennett
3. Baertschi
4. Poirier
5. Granlund
2015
1. Sam Bennett
2. Emile Poirier
3. Jon Gillies
4. Micheal Ferland
5. Joni Ortio
2106
1 - Tkachuk
2 - Jankowski
3 - Gillies
4 - Kylington
5 - Hickey
2017
1. Jankowski
2. Parsons
3. Andersson
4. Valimaki
5. Kylington

Guys we missed... did not make the top-5 prospect list in any year but will get 100 NHL games: Hathaway, Bouma and Kulak.
Speaks to approach. If people are ranking on the basis of likelihood to play 100 NHL games it will naturally skew towards higher floor/lower ceiling guy.
If people consider upside as a big criteria there is bigger risk of bust.
For me upper end potential is really important. While not having a specific formula, in my head I'm considering it about 75/25 in terms of potential v. likelihood to reach.
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