Quote:
Originally Posted by tvp2003
CONCLUSION:
All of this seems to support the notion that Markstrom is letting in more goals early in the game, and putting the team in a hole as a result. So it shouldn’t be surprising — for this team in particular — that they’re able to produce more offence while playing in front of Vladar… it’s easier for them to score while they’re ahead (or at least tied). And while there are other variables that might be contributing to this, I think it’s reasonable to conclude that Vladar is giving the 2022/23 Flames a better chance to get the lead and then hold it, versus having to come from behind.
Agree? Disagree? Does measuring DGAs make sense? Either way, kudos to you for getting all the way to the end of this post without hitting the back button.
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Yes, it makes total sense. This is why teams that score first typically win 70% of the time on average. When a team is playing with a lead, they can be more patient and lock it down. Conversely, when a team is playing from behind, they have to open up more leaving them prone to mistakes. This is why when the goalie lets in an early goal and the team in front also only scores a couple of goals or fewer, you can say they would have lost anyway because they couldn't score.
The added pressure and urgency as the clock runs down also probably leads to more penalties. I don't have data for that, just a hunch.
Giving up an early lead can, and often does, change the whole dynamic of a game.