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Old 09-09-2007, 12:01 AM   #972
JayP
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Join Date: Mar 2003
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jiggy_12 View Post
Could the Jays have contended for the WC? Absolutely. It has come to to injuruies (Partly) and coaching (mostly).

6 of our 1 run losses, turn those into wins and were are virtually tied for the wildcard lead. Easily in 6 of those games, a bunt here, a stolen base there, a sacrifice fly...situational hitting..anything like that would have helped win games.

The Jays don't do situational hitting, they relied on base hits and homeruns all season. which this season, were very hard to come by. I almost fully blame Gibbons for where the Jays sit.

edit: lol, tonight was an anomoly. they did great situational hitting. but the season as a whole? bleh.
What happens when that bunt there, stolen base, and sac fly turn a potential 3-run inning into a 1-run inning and we lose by 1 or 2?

The whole reason the Jays don't play small ball is because statistical analysis shows that while it may increase your chances of scoring one run it significantly reduces your chances of scoring anything more. Analysis also shows that even late in the game sac bunts are only valuable (in terms of producing a tying or winning run) if weak hitters are at the plate (like John McDonald who had a sac tonight).

Small ball and stats like RISP are so over-rated it's hilarious.
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