Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss
The best case scenario is they win the cup... But do they really have a shot at doing that? If best case scenario is they win the cup, 2nd best is they miss the playoffs, 3rd best is if they make the playoffs they don't win the division and go out in 1st 2 rounds,
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Not according to the numbers...
Right now they are slotted as the 18th pick. That plus a late 2nd has pretty much the identical value of the 32nd pick plus a late 1st.
If they miss the playoffs, 14OA + late 2nd is worth significantly more than either of the above.
If they miss and win the lottery that is worth WAY more still. In order for the Cup winning strategy to be worth as much, their pick next year would have to be 7OA.
Best scenarios:
1) miss playoffs, win lottery
2) miss playoffs
3) win cup
4) stay where they are
(the bottom two are equivalent, but the cup win has more potential upside)