Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
I don't really see how that's the aim with the island. There's no realistic scenario where the US takes over Iran's oil infrastructure on Kharg for its own benefit without taking over the entire country, or at least enforcing a regime change to create a compliant state.
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You are still thinking from a rational perspective.
If you would have said in December that the US planned to kidnap Maduro to steal Venezuela's oil, decapitate the Ayatollah with full scale bombing of Iran, and attack Kharg Island with oil going over 100$ as a result of this calamity you would have likely been branded an extremist conspiracy nut.
If you would have said last year that Trump would declare world wide tariffs with percentages based of trade deficits of all things, you would have been seen as overzealous.
Yet here we are.
There is no plan for Iran. But it doesn't stop the Trump administration from doing things on a whim thinking it will solve problems because Trump is surrounded by yes men who will agree to anything that goes through his mind. Bessant's face yesterday said it all, and he's one of the only semi-competent person in his administration who does understand the repercussions.
No, it shouldn't mean that Trump is planning a ground invasion of Iran and I definitely think that was never a plan at all, but I genuinely think he thought Iran would just submit after their leadership got taken out.
Give it 2 weeks. He will half ass something worse and get himself in even more of a quagmire. And I think he may very well do attempt a ground invasion / takeover of Kharg Island because he is just that stupid.