Quote:
Originally Posted by Mean Mr. Mustard
I can't see a way in which this doesn't become a protracted civil war similar to Syria or Libya where a power vacuum results in ongoing bloodshed with no countries really wanting to step in with large scale combat operations as sending body bags home will lead to increased unrest and be unpopular politically.
I wonder how much weaponry has been sent to the Ukranian battlefield depleting the Iranian supplies. That being said if there is a country that would have experience in producing drones it is Iran, I guess it just depends on their stockpiles and their ability to produce anything while being simultaneously attacked.
Either way what a ####ing ####show.
|
Trump is now saying he wants someone from within the Regime taking over. Which does what for the people of Iran?
Maybe that person is less fundamentalist and less oppressive, or maybe they aren't. They could just as easily crack down on protests and seek to consolidate power through a system designed to do the same.
Time and time again we have seen regime changes fail because they lack support from the victors and lack the institutional structures to allow it to succeed.
Also, what's the end goal?
Israel and Saudi Arabia apparently pushed for this. Do they want a democratic and successful Iran? hell no. They want a subdued and broken regional power to further their own goals in the region.
Someone said Israel was on the "winning team" on here, which is so shortsighted and a gross misrepresentation of what Israel (and other countries) are after in this conflict.
Sure, Khamenei is killed. Lets celebrate (many of my Iranian friends are) but lets not forget what happened in Afghanistan, Libya, and Iraq after the celebrations died down.
You have potentially created an immense power vacuum in a county/region where 3 major powers are seeking further influence (Russia has always coveted Iran, China is a major buyer of Iranian Oil)