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Originally Posted by Fuzz
If this results in a large economic crash when the promises can't match reality, that's a pretty big failure, right? and then it will set back work, as all tech does when it doesn't live up to promises(how's that 3D thing going?).
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You are really comparing AI to the 3D TV market? That is a really poor comparison. A gimmicky niche product that was always seen as a gimmicky niche and largely rejected by the public from the start versus a revolutionary defining technology that is replacing jobs and how we work.
The dot com bubble crashed in 2000 and you certainly cannot call the internet a failure. I still remember the days of free dial up, massive storage, etc. AI in its current form at its base is here to stay, regardless of if we ever achieve AGI.
Now that doesn't mean there won't be casualties or a bubble deflating. OpenAI is the most likely big domino to fall, burning cash with no prospects to profitability and companies including Microsoft and Apple moving away from them.
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I think it does matter. AI implies it can substitute for human thinking. And if it is amazing and capable in some areas, it most have those same capabilities in all areas. And it is amazing at some things. Better than humans. But not universal. This leads to it being used, or demanded to be used in areas it should not, because it can not. This leads to all sorts of unnecessary problems.
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Never let logic get in the way of an executive seeing an opportunity to cut and get a performance bonus and stock uptick.
There's many examples of this in the past, especially offshoring, and 5% arbitrary cut policy to lowest performers, or forcing subscription models on consumers. Some companies learn from their mistakes, while others truck along continuing because of monopolies and being stuck with the offerings.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/14/meta...f-layoffs.html
When Microsoft is breaking Windows after boasting that AI is doing much of the coding now, and adding AI to Notepad of all things, it's not going to get better any time soon.
https://www.windowslatest.com/2026/0...s-rolling-out/
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/29/saty...ten-by-ai.html
https://futurism.com/artificial-inte...-security-flaw
In the end though, these companies will continue and force these features until the next executives get in line for their turn and the en####ifying will continue. I just don't see it disappearing, only growing and there is no avoiding it.