Originally Posted by gvitaly
Sure over their career Beecher is the better face-off man, but during their time in CGY Kirkland has won 50% of his face-offs, while Beecher only won 43% of his.
During their careers Kirkland is scoring at a rate of 0.07GPG and 0.23PPG. Beecher is coring at a rate of 0.07GPG, and 0.15PPG, so I'm not sure where you got the rate from.
Yes, Beecher is younger, bigger and faster, but also a lot less effective on the ice. I doubt you see him as anything more than a replacement level player next year, or the year after.
Did the Flames PK look any worse after the Beecher injury?
With Beecher: 9PPGA, 5SHGF, -4 SHGD, 84.2%PK, 93.0% NetPK
After injury: 3PPGA, 2SHGF, -1 SHGD, 90.6%PK, 96.9% NetPK
If anything, it looks like the Flames PK got better after he was injured.
EDIT: Here's Kirkland vs Beecher on the PK(4 on 5) this season:
Beecher: 26:49TOI, 5.05xGA, 38SCA, 12HDCA, 0.909sv%
Kirkland: 32:40TOI, 3.51xGA, 25SCA, 10HDCA, 0.870sv%
It seems as though Kirkland has a lot less scoring chances and high danger scoring chances against in more time on the PK, while Beecher gets bailed by his goalies a bit more.
As far as 5v5 play:
Beecher: 38.5%xG, 42.0%CF, 43.4%FF, 20%GF, -6, 41.8%FO
Kirkland: 51.1%xG, 50.8%CF, 52.7%FF, 54.6%GF, +1, 51.0%FO
I just have a hard time making the argument that those stats are equivalent. Which largely agrees with my eye test.
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