Quote:
Originally Posted by RedHawk12
At the end of the day, I think what some posters mean when they say that the 1st is essentially a 2nd, is that it's a late first and not a mid first.
Statistically, the later you draft, the less of a chance the player turns into anything. That's reality.
We have been drafting well, so maybe Conroy turns the 1st into something good like Gridin or Potter. Still, 15th OA is better than 30th OA. That's not really up for debate.
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Right, but all of the teams you would be trading with would be sending back a late first. Unless they sent back a second, in which case it would be a late second. So regardless of where the pick is in the round, there's still a substantial difference (32 picks) between a late first and the alternative of a late second. So while a very late first may not be much different from a very early second (although it is if the player you want was taken one spot earlier), you're never in a situation where you might have got an early second instead of a late first in exchange for the same asset. You know who might have an early second to trade? The teams in the draft lottery, who aren't generally trading picks away, unless it's to move up in the draft.