Quote:
Originally Posted by Five-hole
Well, that's a very significant qualifier on the data. As said in the article:
A team that only drafts in the 7th round every year and drafts a middling NHLer every time is going to dominate this ranking. This is not a metric for determining how much the draft has added to the overall success of the franchise.
It's ironic that the "best pick" for the Flames was Adam Fox, who never played a game for us.
There were three drafts in this 12 year period where the Flames did notably better than expected. The Gaudreau draft, the Andersson/Kylington/Mangiapane draft, and the Tkachuk/Fox draft. They also ranked the Flames 25th in expected value for first round picks and 16th for the 2nd round. Hardly lighting the world on fire.
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I agree their work in the late 1st and early 2nd rounds was quite poor. We'll see if it's gotten better in a few years
But at least this is a proper analysis from a 3rd party.
Here's another one:
https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/article...-at-the-draft/
This one is from Sept 2024, covering drafts from 2010-2019.
It has the Flames ranked 7th, which is based on the Percent of their players who skated 200 games. It also notes that the Flames issue is that they had the third fewest skaters selected during the sample
So that's now two independent analysis that conclude not only are the Flames not at the bottom, but are in the top 1/3rd of the league for draft productivity.