At the end of the day, luck really has a ton to do with it. The strongest argument for the Op's argument in recent memory is the Cale Makar draft. Avs lost the draft lottery to settle for Makar, and teams picked Hischier, Patrick, and Heiskanen instead. Hischier and Heiskanen were ok, but none of those guys compare to Makar, who Avs lucked out settling for.
Now, you can say if Avs won the draft, they would have still picked Makar, but only the Avs management know if that's true or not. I think they very well may have gone with a forward to complement MacKinnon's game.
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