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Old 01-09-2026, 03:47 AM   #39
Mathgod
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Join Date: Feb 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM View Post
And maybe Calgary picks a better player like Nylander or Pasternak.

But seriously on this topic, 1OA usually works out - of course normally there's a consensus #1 and it gets progressively muddier. Look at the mess after #1 in 2016. I'd say in 7 out of the last drafts since 2015 the 1OA is the best player picked. And in a couple of the ones where they weren't, drafting 4 wouldn't have helped, because Wyatt Johnston and Quinn Hughes were picked later (in the other 2 the best players were 3 and 4).

Are there anomalies? Sure, just like in pretty much every draft there's a 2nd rounder (or later) in the top 10 in scoring from that draft class. But you are still likely to get a great player. I doubt NJ spends much time thinking about how they could have had Cale Makar but the "only" got Nico Hischier.

Can you imagine a GM winning the lottery and turning it down because that's too much pressure? LOL.
All good points. The thing is though, if we'd had the #3 pick and chose Sam instead of Leon, that decision would not have aged well at all.

I still agree that you always want your picks to be as high in the draft as possible. But in some situations it opens up more room for second-guessing/regret/frustration.
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