Quote:
Originally Posted by Jiri Hrdina
Yeah the points back is always misleading. It's the number of teams you have to out perform and climb over that is key. Due to teams playing each other, the overtime points, etc, some of those teams are going to get points on a regular basis. So if you have a lot of teams between you and a playoff spot, it doesn't really matter that you are "only 5 points back", the odds are stacked against you.
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And with that many teams in play there is an almost guaranteed result of the bar moving upward.
Right now it's a measly 88 point pace by team #8 in the West.
If the glut creates a lot of three point games and a team popping you likely see that go to 92 or so.
At 92 the Flames would need to go on a 109 point pace the rest of the way to get in.
The Flames know they're not making the playoffs ... I can't believe there isn't an inhouse guy with enough modelling skill to point it out.