I would have thought the lesson from Iraq was clear, the easy part is toppling the Government, Hussain was also hated, the problem is after you have done that as chaos and anarchy rule people start to blame you for chaos and anarchy, then the IED's and drone strikes start, the idea of a drone fueled guerrilla war should be horrifying for the US frankly, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan all started like this
As to oil exports, again as chaos and anarchy take hold the easiest target to hit is an oil field, impossible to protect, I suspect Canada has way less to worry about than we think
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