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Bingo · 12-17-2025, 02:32 PM

Love stuff like this.

So this sent me down a rabbit hole.

I took a trade value chart, and then compared value by picks taken for every team over the last three years compared to the value they would have had if they just picked in their position by standings and didn't add, trade away, move up or move down.

Clearly the greater value is at the top of the draft and terrible teams have had more value.

And winning the lottery is huge as the value differential is huge. The Islanders added just under 1200 "points" by moving up in the lottery last year.

So luck is still involved.

The Flames had the 14th highest expected draft points based on their standing in the three seasons (15th, 25th and 14th), but ended up 10th in draft points because of the accumulation of draft capital adding 347 in value.

The worst is Florida (-756 points)

Rank by Differential

1. Chicago
2. Islanders
3. Utah

all three of those won lotteries for big point differentials. Chicago added extra picks as well.

4. Nashville
5. Philly
6. San Jose (adding picks)
7. Detroit
8. Calgary
9. St. Louis
10. Washington

Calgary certainly in that rebuilding group.

12-17-2025, 02:32 PM	#37
Bingo Owner Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Calgary Exp:	Love stuff like this. So this sent me down a rabbit hole. I took a trade value chart, and then compared value by picks taken for every team over the last three years compared to the value they would have had if they just picked in their position by standings and didn't add, trade away, move up or move down. Clearly the greater value is at the top of the draft and terrible teams have had more value. And winning the lottery is huge as the value differential is huge. The Islanders added just under 1200 "points" by moving up in the lottery last year. So luck is still involved. The Flames had the 14th highest expected draft points based on their standing in the three seasons (15th, 25th and 14th), but ended up 10th in draft points because of the accumulation of draft capital adding 347 in value. The worst is Florida (-756 points) Rank by Differential 1. Chicago 2. Islanders 3. Utah all three of those won lotteries for big point differentials. Chicago added extra picks as well. 4. Nashville 5. Philly 6. San Jose (adding picks) 7. Detroit 8. Calgary 9. St. Louis 10. Washington Calgary certainly in that rebuilding group.