I dont think anyone is arguing that high draft picks are a sure thing or that there isn't luck involved. But they are the most likely probability of getting a star or superstar player. Otherwise teams would literally trade top 3 picks on a regular basis and just move down the draft to find diamonds in the rough.
Some of you guys have a really strange aversion to the Flames picking high, it makes no sense whatsoever. Fretting about a top pick not becoming Celebrini is a completely irrational reason not to actually want that draft position.
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A few weeks after crashing head-first into the boards (denting his helmet and being unable to move for a little while) following a hit from behind by Bob Errey, the Calgary Flames player explains:
"I was like Christ, lying on my back, with my arms outstretched, crucified"
-- Frank Musil - Early January 1994
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