With league-average shooting vs league average goaltending, tonight's exact game replayed 1000 times results in Calgary winning it 605 times to Detroit's 395 times.
Across all situations tonight, Calgary scored 3 of their 3.53 expected goals. Detroit scored 4 in spite of only expecting to get 2.82. Getting rid of the decimals, it means we scored 3 when we should have had 4... and they got 4 when they should have had 3.
Last edited by FanIn80; 12-10-2025 at 09:37 PM.
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