A part of the Flames hot streak is that they are starting to playing at home more often. They are 7-4-2 at home and have 28 home games remaining.
That said they are a horrific 5-11-2 on the road and have 24 more games.
There is an illusion being created at until the Olympic break. Before the Break the Flames play 19 home games and 10 road games. There is a good chance we see them rise in the standings. After the Olympics the Flames play 9 home games and 14 road games.
This might seem like a small difference but If we take their point percentage at home and apply it to their future home games, and do the same for road games they are on pace for 34 more points at home and 16 more points on the road. Meaning that even with great play at home they are cruising for 81 points on the season, which historically lands you at 23rd-25th in the standings.
To add a little more perspective, Vancouver and Nashville do not have a winning record at home, so the odds of the Flames being worse than them this season are basically zero. Both teams likely finish with fewer than 70 points.
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