Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
So Flames would need to play at a .673 pace to get to 96 points still, so even with this stretch it's very very unlikely.
But they are now more likely to probably finish around .500 is my guess which will have them more with a top 10 pick than a top 5 pick.
74 points is generally around the threshold for finishing bottom 5 for a team then the Flames would need to play around .460 the rest of the way. Not sure the roster is that bad currently.
If right around .500 (82 points) is generally the threshold for a top 10 pick then the Flames would need to go .538 the rest of the way.
Picking somewhere between 5 and 10 has to be the most likely outcome right now.
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In other words, the last month has been an absolute nightmare for Flames fans who are looking to draft a franchise player in the top 3.
9-6-1 in the last 16. That is not the record of a bottom 3 team. More than likely with this roster they finish outside the playoffs but not bottom 5. This is what people call the mushy middle.
Of course, there is hope they can still finish bottom 3 if we trade Andersson, Kadri, and Coleman quickly. But I am not confident we will do that.