They're all unlikely to succeed simply because actually getting that proportion of the population to sign in any given riding is really, really difficult. Even Nicolaides, who had all the early momentum and is the most well-known, is going to be a slog to collect what is probably around half of the remaining signatures required, especially now that the snow is here. A big chunk of the people motivated to sign have already done so (me included), but I wouldn't be surprised if at least 25% of the riding has no idea who Nicolaides even is, and many more don't care who he is or what he's done and have no interest in signing anything or even hearing out the person who is asking them to sign something.
The threshold for a recall is high and it should be high. Succeeding at any of them would be a huge accomplishment. Even if they don't, though, you've shaken the tree and sent a strong message, which is why you should try anyway even if Hemi-Cuda is right.
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"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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