Vegas only played 16 games. If you look at point percentage then Vegas sits at 6th in the West, and 13th in the league. Based on moneypuck, they still have about a 75% chance of making the playoffs.
They were also a bit unlucky with injuries so far. I believe Hill and Stone are still injured, while Hanifin just returned recently. We'll have to see if Hart stabilizes their goalie position and gives them quality minutes, once he's activated on Dec 1st.
I still have a hard time betting against VGK making the playoff, since the house always wins. It would be a ton of fun to have two high picks, maybe get one from Van for Kadri as well.
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