I've seen this coming with robotics 10 years ago. About 4 years ago when ChatGPT was released and pretty quickly showed the world AI capabilities, it became alarming how good it was and good it was right away. The thought previous to that is AI can't replace creativity, but just a couple years later those were the first things to be hit hard. I have a friend in the arts who does wrap designs among other things and he says everyone just uses AI which puts him out of a job pretty fast. Or they take his work and use AI to make it better.
Anyway, I was working for one of the big banks and for ten years now they invested in automation. Now they're investing in AI with the sole purpose of replacing human capital as the consultants see that as the biggest expense on the ledger. 5-10 years is pessimistic. I think we're looking at huge layoffs in the next 2 years. Big corporations are investing heavily on this and it's a matter of time before it becomes accessible to the smaller companies too. Honestly I have no clue where society will be given taxes have to be raised and spending has to take place. There is nobody looking at the effect it's going to have on society. When you think about even a skilled job like a doctor, they're asking you questions and it's one big flow chart depending on what you answer. Even a GP can be replaced soon enough. Maybe they're protected a bit right now by their regulatory boards but they won't be forever. A lot of jobs involving skilled trades will probably be the last to automate. But the hit is coming soon for a lot of people. I really wished governments looked into this more.
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