11-11-2025, 10:56 AM
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#335
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Some kinda newsbreaker!
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Learning Phaneufs skating style
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eliteprospects has a free article analyzing McKenna's college play so far:
https://www.eliteprospects.com/news/...-at-penn-state
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Though McKenna is generating less offence as the primary carrier off the rush versus the WHL, he remains an elite rush playmaker. When he gets a puck inside a bit of space, he draws in every possible defender and quickly finds an option with those same deceptive and adaptable passing skills. Plus, the delay game continues to be a weapon.
Combined, these skills have made McKenna a special playmaker in the NCAA already, even at 5-on-5.
In a hand-tracked six-game sample (that excludes games against Independent programs), McKenna is setting up scoring chances at a historic rate. His expected primary assists at 5-on-5, a metric that measures the likelihood of a player’s shot assists becoming a goal based on location, type, quality, etc., is 2.5 per 60, the same rate as his last season in the WHL.
That’s not just a higher rate than Macklin Celebrini and Adam Fantilli’s only NCAA seasons – it’s higher than both combined. In fact, it’s higher than every NCAA season I’ve ever tracked, Trevor Zegras, Gabe Perreault, Ryan Leonard, Will Smith, Jackson Blake’s 60-point season, and Frank Nazar’s deceptively incredible draft-plus-two year, and hundreds more. And he's shot or set up a higher percentage of his team's 5-on-5 offence than any other NCAA draft-year player by a gap that would be larger had it been compared to their results at the same stage of the season versus the end.
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For fun, if McKenna’s linemates were converting at the same clip as Penn State’s top line – Charlie Cerrato, Matthew DiMarsico, and J.J. Wiebusch – he’d have 22 points and lead the entire NCAA in scoring.
In either of these scenarios, the narrative around McKenna would sure look a lot different, wouldn’t it?
But the NCAA season is shorter than most other leagues. Teams play around 40 games – if they’re great. Players can ride heaters all season long – and icy cold streaks, too. It’s why the NCAA has tons of one-season wonders, and why the scoring race doesn’t reflect NHL outcomes as much as other leagues.
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