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Finger Cookin · 10-23-2025, 10:31 AM

I'm definitely not interested in an argument about the merits of expected goals as a stat, I'm just trying to understand it better.

I count 11 shots from Montreal between the faceoff dots and closer -- I think those alone would add up to more expected goals than 2.2. Maybe the definition of high danger or heat map or what have you varies from place to place? And then there are still 17 more shots from the outside that area (1 of which went in), surely they would add to the expected goals total as well?

Maybe I'm just having trouble with the word "expected" in the name -- as I would count a number of saves Wolf made as beyond expectations.

10-23-2025, 10:31 AM	#10
Finger Cookin Franchise Player Join Date: Jun 2014 Exp:	I'm definitely not interested in an argument about the merits of expected goals as a stat, I'm just trying to understand it better. I count 11 shots from Montreal between the faceoff dots and closer -- I think those alone would add up to more expected goals than 2.2. Maybe the definition of high danger or heat map or what have you varies from place to place? And then there are still 17 more shots from the outside that area (1 of which went in), surely they would add to the expected goals total as well? Maybe I'm just having trouble with the word "expected" in the name -- as I would count a number of saves Wolf made as beyond expectations.