Quote:
Originally Posted by Vinny01
That makes more sense. No clear downgrade for the roster that overachieved last year but get behind the 8-ball this year the tune will change. If that is the case I think it is the right approach as they will pivot if the season is lost.
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If the organization is more analytically inclined now which they seem to be, they should have an idea of their probabilities of making the playoffs at certain points.
Friedman, on the latest pod, stated that as of November 1st, there have been 72 teams, four points or more out of the playoffs. Of those 10 made it. So basically if you are out by 4 points, your chances of getting in are already down to 14% that early in the season.
It's just too hard to make up that ground. You don't make the playoffs in the first month, but you sure as #### can miss them.
Now we would never hear the team come out and admit they know they are missing, but if they have a disaster of a first month, I do hope it provokes some different decisions to be made.