Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
Yesavage has that Tim Lincecum unique-ness with his throwing motion. I think teams were scared of the injury risk since Lincecum had a shorter career. That said the 5 years to start his career were all very positive with two absolutely dominating ones in years 2 and 3. So Yesavage is a bit bigger and with more advanced pitch and inning management might be able to stretch this to 7 or 8.
I'm fine to get a guy who peaks to thst level with a short career over a functional 12 year type of pitcher.
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That seems so obviously better from a draft perspective that I'd be surprised if teams cared, unless they thought his arm gave up before he hit the bigs.
The most valuable years (the ones with team control) are the first ~5. If someone is a superstar for those years and flames out later that isn't a big problem in terms of getting value from your draft picks.
The FA years you have to pay full price for anyway, so I wouldn't count them as adding much value to a draft pick.