Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Is it though?
The origin of the HD stat is by percentages of goals on a shot attempt on all areas of the ice.
I'd guess that shots from where Coronato shot are lower in danger because of less net to shoot at, the goalie covering more of the space, and the higher likelihood of shooting wide.
They all contribute to a lower probability of a shot from their going in.
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You defend the stats in every situation - it is okay to criticize them, in fact that is an important part of the process of deriving better stats.
Above, you are continuing to argue for location as the most important factor (as the stat does). But people keep giving examples of how that is not always the case - and in fact may not be the most important variable at all. Coronato's chance was a very high danger chance because Frost's cross-crease pass got through, and put the goalie out of position. That left Coronato to shoot at an empty net. The important variable here was the set-up. Location, in this case, was irrelevant - especially for an NHLer.
And has been stated many times, time and space can also be more important than location. As can the skill of the shooter.
So yes, more shots from close in is better (or worse). But HD scoring chances is a comparative stat that is trying to quantify how well a player performed (and that is how people use it). And it simply doesn't do a good job of doing that.