Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Yes, sometimes, more complex isn't better (but sometimes it is)
And yes, sometimes it becomes an issue of what people want it to measure, as opposed to what it does measure.
But this stat measures HD chances. Yes, it defines that as shots from home plate. But that doesn't mean that is should. Sometimes the design of the stat can be flawed, or too simplistic. Again, Coronato's goal against the Kraken was a very high danger scoring chance in any rational person's mind. But it wasn't a stat, by the way it is counted. That isn't a problem of the viewer (wanting the stat to be what they want it to be), it is a shortcoming of the stat. Full stop.
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Is it though?
The origin of the HD stat is by percentages of goals on a shot attempt on all areas of the ice.
I'd guess that shots from where Coronato shot are lower in danger because of less net to shoot at, the goalie covering more of the space, and the higher likelihood of shooting wide.
They all contribute to a lower probability of a shot from their going in.