Polymarket is interesting on this one....basically looking like a coin flip over there although all the recent bets are on NYY:
https://polymarket.com/event/al-east-division-winner
The Jays control their own destiny...even if the Yankees win out, the Jays just need a win today and I think it's very doable. That gives them the option to lose one to TB over the weekend OR to lose to Boston tomorrow in that Yankees scenario.
I'm going to predict the Yankees lose 2 games total anyway...the Jays aren't the only team capable of melting down when it matters most.