Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
I under predicted the Flames last season...they did better than I said. I was just closer than these experts.
I just don't see how the median is virtually the same as a team coming in with an unknown Wolf, lesser known Coronato/Zary/Klapka, and no ZP, Frost, Farabee last year. Seems like they didn't do much digging. IMO anyway.
Edit: Just placed an over bet on 82.5 which was the best I could find, we shall see. I think much of the league is sleeping on the Flames younger players and a younger vet like Frost.
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Really, I think it comes down to these pundits saying the team over-achieved and can't do it again. It's as simple as that. For every player that over-achieved I can think of another that under-performed. It was not a team full of career seasons last year. For every thing that went well, I look at other things that were down right unlucky. I have a lot of trouble projecting the Flames because really there are so many wild cards.
Many of these pre-season previews are based upon recognizable names - regardless of whether a model is used or not. The Flames have very few names that jump off the page to pundits who do not follow the team.
To be fair to those less keen on the team, team performance across the league does vary from season to season. I think that few pundits had Nashville being near the bottom of the league.
I think that you will do well on the bet of 82.5.