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Old 09-03-2025, 09:21 AM   #687
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PepsiFree View Post
Then you failed. You didn’t even pick random numbers, you picked specific ones using a set formula where you already knew the result you were trying to accurately predict… and his was still measurably better.

Predicting 1312 events with a 88.6% average accuracy is pretty good or at least interesting.

Predicting 32 datas points you already actually know and only hitting 88.6% accuracy is actually kind of terrible. “I put it on easy mode for myself and knew the answers and was almost as accurate as the complex model that didn’t!” isn’t really a flex.

But as I said, I think you’re just missing the point here, which is fine, though I think my math teachers would have spit on me if I told them how you reach the result and whether you can do so consistently doesn’t matter, all that matters is getting pretty close if you already know the answer you’re trying to find lol.
Would your math teachers have given you a gold star if you created a model that wasn't any more predictive than a random guess?
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